(NSI News Source Info) Moscow - September 18, 2008: Three events have come together independently. But they produced an intrigue that has hooked both politicians and media in the Middle East.
Here is what happened. First, Moscow hosted MVSV-2008, an international show of weapons and military equipment. Then King Abdullah II of Jordan visited the show, met with designers and producers, and had a discussion with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.
A few days earlier, President Bashar Assad of Syria had flown in for talks with Medvedev. The press and television in Amman, Damascus and Tel Aviv made much of the events, especially the Syrian visit.
Israeli media claimed Assad had arrived on a purchasing spree, and his main aim was to buy the Iskander-E tactical missile system, in addition to Pantsyr-S1 and Buk-M2 ground-to-air missile systems and Sukhoi Su-30, MiG-29SMT and MiG-31E fighters.
The Iskander missile had been promised to Damascus in 2001, and only a personal request by Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to former President Vladimir Putin put a stop to its sale to Syria.
But now that Israel has helped to train Georgian commandos and equip the Georgian army that attacked South Ossetia, Moscow is within its rights to "repay the debt" and provide Damascus with the system, the media in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv said.
Yet Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told reporters during Assad's visit that Moscow "is ready to supply Syria only with defensive weapons, ones that do not upset the balance of strength in the region." This means Syria, as Moscow promised to Tel Aviv, will not get the Iskander system. Regarding ground- and air-based air defense units, including interceptor fighters, they are not considered offensive armaments and are immune from Russian-Israeli agreements.
It is another matter that military technical cooperation between Moscow and Damascus needs re-evaluating. Syria owes Russia $3 billion for weapons supplied to it, and this on top of Damascus' $10 billion debt for armaments sold in Soviet times that Moscow forgave, incidentally, for a pledge to spend another $2 billion on arms purchases from Russia.
Contracts currently being negotiated include Pantsyr and Buk missile systems, as well as Sukhoi and MiG fighters, but not Iskander missiles. The parties are also discussing the expansion of a Russian naval maintenance base at the Syrian port of Tartus.
Any movement of Black Sea Fleet forces from Sevastopol to Syria, as some Middle East publications suggest, is, of course, out of the question. But a supply and maintenance center for warships on missions in the Mediterranean will come in handy for Moscow. In the Soviet era, the Soviet navy's 5th Mediterranean Squadron made full use of this port.
The visit to Moscow of King Abdullah II of Jordan did not produce as much excitement as the trip by Assad to Sochi, perhaps because problems between Jordan and Israel are not as serious as between Tel Aviv and Damascus. Discussions mainly focused on military-technical cooperation between Moscow and Amman, rather than on Middle East issues. This cooperation is now on the rise, Medvedev said during the meeting.
"Our relations are making good headway; this is our third meeting in six months, and that points to the intensity of our contacts and good-neighbor relations," the Russian president said, opening the discussion. "Trade between our countries grows steadily, although both countries would like to see it develop more quickly."
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