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Saturday, February 07, 2009
Nigerian Army Says Repels Attack On Shell Gas Plant
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Global Arms Firms Make A Beeline For India's Largest Arms Fair
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Germany, France Dodge Afghanistan Troop Issue
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Pakistan Defends Freedom For Rogue Nuclear Scientist
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Russian-Donated MIG-29 To Lebanon "Unsafe": Report
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U.S. Opposes Russian Military Bases In Abkhazia, South Ossetia
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Kyrgyz Closure Of US Base 'Final'
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Russia Not Main Military Threat To EU, NATO - French President
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BAE Systems Receives Contracts To Develop CH-53K Cockpit Seats And Cabin Armor
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African Leaders Talk Tough On Darfur War Crimes
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Polish PM Reiterates Country's Commitment To U.S. Missile Shield
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Pakistan: NWFP Lawless Taliban's Country
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Philippines Is Feeling Pinched By World-wide Recession
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Pakistan: U.S. Military Goods For Sale In Peshawar
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Dutch Forces In Afghanistan Needs Weapons Up-dated
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Russia, Belarus To Create Joint Air Defence
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Why You Shouldn't Trust The Pakistani Government
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The Road To Kabul Runs Through Beijing (And Tehran)
With the Khyber Pass threatened, NATO is scrambling for new logistics routes through Russia, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan. Fuel tankers and trucks move on their way to supply NATO forces after the reopening of a road at the southwest Pakistan-Afghanistan border crossing in Chaman. Pakistan reopened a supply route for Western forces in Afghanistan after protesters angry about military searches for militants lifted a blockade, a government official said.
We all know that Pakistan is a vital piece of the puzzle, but consider for a moment the consequences of a strategy that lacks a regional element. If the additional 30,000 U.S. troops being deployed in southern and eastern Afghanistan succeed at pushing Taliban fighters intro retreat over the border into Pakistan, they could massively destabilize that country's already volatile Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP), which is itself almost as populous as Iraq. U.S. troops would be squeezing a balloon on one end only to inflate it on the other.
On the Pakistan side, newly armed (with Chinese AK-47s) tribal lashkars (militias) would be unable to cope with the Taliban influx. Meanwhile, fewer armored carrots from a pro-democracy Obama administration have diminished the Pakistani military's willingness to support American priorities, evidenced by a sudden increase in attacks on NATO convoys in Peshawar and the Khyber Pass. Centcom is scrambling for new logistics routes through Russia, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan. As was the case under the Musharraf regime, the Army is more interested in American planes than policies.
But China, Saudi Arabia, and Iran are also becoming increasingly important -- not as neighbors of the chaos, like Pakistan, but meddlers in it. The United States is already failing to grasp not only the details of other powers' maneuverings in Afghanistan and Pakistan, but the extent to which these dealings could eclipse even the most brilliant U.S. shuttle diplomacy by Holbrooke.
China's long-term strategy is clear: It has become the largest investor in Afghanistan, developing highways to connect Iran and the giant Aynak copper mine south of Kabul. The Chinese have likewise financed the deep-water port at Gwadar on Pakistan's Arabian Sea coast.
Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, is widely thought to be funnelling unquantified sums to Wahabbi mosques and the Taliban, and the country's leadership is brokering the latter's negotiations with the Karzai regime.
For its part, Iran is building electricity plants to meet Pakistan's growing shortfall. More importantly, the country is renewing efforts to construct an Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) gas pipeline, which both Pakistan and India badly need.