Showing posts with label U.S. Administration. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. Administration. Show all posts

Monday, October 26, 2009

DTN News: White House Set For Afghanistan, Pakistan Strategy Review

DTN News: White House Set For Afghanistan, Pakistan Strategy Review *Source: DTN News / Int'l Media (NSI News Source Info) WASHINGTON, USA - October 27, 2009: President Obama is scheduled to meet Monday with his national security team to discuss U.S. strategy in Afghanistan and Pakistan, according to the White House. The meeting is the sixth in a series of high-level administration discussions being held in part to forge a new consensus on how best to confront Taliban and al Qaeda militants threatening the governments of both countries.University students during a demonstration in Kabul, Afghanistan on Sunday, Oct. 25, 2009. Hundreds of Afghans shouted anti-US, NATO and Afghan government slogans and burned a effigy of the President Barack Obama during a rally to protest a rumor that U.S. forces had bombed a mosque and burned a copy of the Muslim holy book, the Quran, in nearby Wardak province in mid-October. Authorities say Taliban supporters spread the false report to stir trouble. U.S. officials are weighing a reported request from Gen. Stanley McChrystal, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, for as many as 40,000 additional troops for the fight against the Taliban. The meeting is expected to include Vice President Joe Biden via videoconference, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates. Other expected attendees are national security adviser Gen. James Jones, deputy national security adviser Tom Donilon, White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel, and John Brennan, assistant to the president for counterterrorism and homeland security. US soldiers sit on their armored vehicles as the patrol the streets of Kabul on October 25, 2009. A US soldier and several Taliban rebels were killed at the weekend in the latest deadly violence to hit insurgency-hit Afghanistan, NATO and Afghan authorities said October 25.The US soldier was killed on Saturday, the third American to lose his life since Friday. A Danish soldier also attached to the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) was killed October 23. The strategy review is being conducted against a backdrop of rising U.S. casualties in Afghanistan and political turmoil surrounding a planned November 7 Afghan presidential election runoff. In Afghanistan on Monday, 14 Americans died in two separate helicopter crashes, NATO's International Security Assistance Force said -- 10 in one incident and four in the other. It was the largest number of Americans killed in Afghanistan in a single day in at least three years, according to CNN records. ISAF ruled out enemy fire in the crash that killed four Americans and said that enemy action was not thought be the cause of the other.Afghan Pashtun tribal elders sit in a traditional meeting to discuss American and Canadian military actions on their lands October 26, 2009 in the village of Hazi Madad in the Kandahar province of Afghanistan. American and Canadian troops in the area have been trading blows with Taliban militant fighters in recent battles, but local tribal chiefs complain that civilians have been caught in the crossfire. Separately, ISAF said a joint international security force killed more than a dozen enemy fighters while searching a compound. The site was thought to harbor insurgents tied to narcotics trafficking in western Afghanistan. The militants were killed in a firefight when insurgents confronted the joint force, ISAF said. As the runoff election nears, U.S. military forces are trying to help provide security for the presidential campaign, which is becoming increasingly contentious. Abdullah Abdullah, the main challenger to Afghan President Hamid Karzai, said Monday that he wants the removal of the country's election chief and 200 other staffers of the election commission to ensure a fair runoff. Abdullah told reporters that he will submit his conditions to the U.N. Assistance Mission in Afghanistan and the country's Independent Election Commission -- and give them until month's end to comply. Abdullah has long contended that the head of the Election Commission, Azizullah Lodin, is aligned with Karzai. He has called for Lodin's removal. On Monday, he once again reiterated his demand, saying Lodin has "no credibility." Abdullah and others have charged that massive fraud occurred in the first round of voting on August 20. The initial results gave Karzai the win, but a subsequent review by a United Nations-backed panel of election monitors threw out nearly one-third of Karzai's votes because of "clear and convincing evidence of fraud." The result left Karzai short of the 50 percent need to avoid a runoff. After a flurry of meetings with U.S. and U.N. officials, the Afghan president agreed to the November 7 vote.

Thursday, July 23, 2009

DTN News: Our View On War On Terror ~ House Probes CIA Program, But Where's The Scandal?

DTN News: Our View On War On Terror ~ House Probes CIA Program, But Where's The Scandal? *Inquiry into defunct hit-squad plan puts politics over security.
*Source: DTN News / USA Today (NSI News Source Info) WASHINGTON, USA - July 23, 2009: Heard about the latest intelligence "scandal" in Washington? You know, the one about whether an administration that's no longer in office failed to tell Congress about a CIA program that no longer exists, the purpose of which was to kill top terrorists? If that doesn't sound like much of a scandal to you, you're right. But some key House Democrats seem to think otherwise. Last week, they went ballistic and began an investigation into the defunct program. Based on what's known, it's hard to see what the CIA did wrong here; it appears to have carefully assessed the program and shelved it when it was deemed unworkable. And it's hard to think of a better way for Congress to dash hopes of improved relations with the intelligence agencies. For those who've been tuned out, here's a quick recap: Last month, new CIA Director Leon Panetta learned about a Bush-era program, launched after 9/11 but apparently never put into operation, to assassinate al-Qaeda operatives. Panetta pulled the plug and — fearing a backlash from lawmakers who had been kept in the dark, apparently at the behest of then-Vice President Cheney — quickly and confidentially briefed the House and Senate Intelligence committees. Was this welcomed as a shot of candor by the new CIA director? Hardly. It turns out House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's allies were still smoldering over a bitter dispute this spring in which she accused the CIA of misleading Congress about harsh interrogation of terrorism suspects during the Bush years. Panetta shot back with a May 15 letter saying it is not the CIA's "policy or practice to mislead Congress." On June 26, after the aborted hit-squad program was disclosed, about a half dozen Democrats on the intelligence panel wrote to Panetta demanding that he, in essence, take back his May 15 comments. That smacks more of a childish tantrum than strict oversight. Last week, House Intelligence Committee Chairman Silvestre Reyes, D-Texas, announced an investigation into whether federal laws were violated by the defunct covert assassination program or failure to notify Congress. What's to investigate? Perhaps Cheney was wrong to cloak the whole thing in secrecy (though the law is unclear about what level of planning triggers the congressional notification requirement). But the program itself was a far cry from the CIA abuses — attempts to assassinate foreign heads of state and spying on U.S. citizens — exposed in the Church Committee investigations of the mid-1970s. Hunting down Osama bin Laden and other top al-Qaeda leaders is, after all, public policy of the United States, carried out every day by unmanned Predator drones in the Pakistan-Afghanistan border region. Democratic leaders seem oblivious to the danger of public feuding and reliving Bush-era controversies. Pelosi told us Tuesday that Panetta "created his own problems" by insisting the CIA doesn't lie, and she sees the panel's investigation as a "modest approach." We see a bungled opportunity to improve relations between Congress and the intelligence community. Pelosi rightly describes the oversight system as flawed, in which CIA briefers provide snippets of information to different lawmakers at different times, so none really gains an understanding of the full picture. The remedy is changing the system, as Democrats say they're trying to do with new legislation. That beats political peevishness and probes of programs that were never implemented. (CIA headquarters: Reported assassination program pulled. Photo by Saul Loeb, AFP/Getty Images)

Thursday, June 11, 2009

DTN News: Cuba ~ Friends In High Places

DTN News: Cuba ~ Friends In High Places
*Source: By Scott Stewart and Fred Burton STRATFOR (NSI News Source Info) June 11, 2009: On June 4, 2009, Walter Kendall Myers and his wife, Gwendolyn Steingraber Myers, were arrested by the FBI and charged with spying for the government of Cuba. According to court documents filed in the case, the Myers allegedly were recruited by the Cuban intelligence service in 1979 and worked for them as agents until 2007. On June 10, 2009, a U.S. Magistrate Judge ruled that the couple posed a flight risk and ordered them held without bond. The criminal complaint filed by the FBI in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia on June 4 and the grand jury indictment returned in the case have been released to the public, and these two documents provide a fascinating and detailed historical account of the activities of Kendall and Gwendolyn Myers. Perhaps more importantly, however, these documents provide an excellent opportunity to understand how the Cuban intelligence service works and serve as a primer on Cuba’s espionage efforts inside the United States. Case Details According to the criminal complaint filed by the FBI, Kendall Myers served from 1959 to 1962 in the U.S. Army Security Agency (ASA), which was the Army’s signal intelligence branch at that time. Myers reportedly worked for the ASA as a linguist who was assigned to work translating intercepted messages from Eastern Bloc countries in Europe. In 1972, Myers earned a Ph.D. from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), in Washington, D.C. Myers then worked as an assistant professor of European Studies at SAIS and became a part-time contract instructor in August 1977 at the State Department’s Foreign Service Institute (FSI) teaching European studies. While employed as a contractor at the FSI, Myers attended a lecture at the FSI on Cuba that was presented by a Cuban intelligence officer assigned to the Cuban permanent mission to the United Nations. The intelligence officer (identified in the complaint only as co-conspirator “A”) then reportedly invited Myers and two of his colleagues to travel to Cuba on an academic visit. According to the FBI, Myers traveled to Cuba for a two-week trip in December 1978. The complaint contained several entries from a journal that Myers allegedly kept during the trip, and was obtained during a search of Myers’ residence. In the journal entries, Myers fawned over the Cuban revolution and Cuban leader Fidel Castro, whom Myers said was “certainly one of the great political leaders of our time.” According the complaint, approximately six months after Myers returned from his trip to Cuba, he and Gwendolyn were visited at their home in South Dakota by “A” who, according to the FBI, pitched and recruited the Myers to work for the Cuban intelligence service. While they were recruited in 1979, the couple stated that they did not begin actively working for the Cuban intelligence service until 1981. This timeline seems to match Myers’ job search efforts. After being recruited, Kendall Myers was allegedly instructed by his handler to move back to Washington and seek government employment in order to gain access to information deemed valuable to the Cubans. In 1981, he applied for a job at the Central Intelligence Agency and in 1982, he returned to working as a part-time contract instructor at the FSI, and became the chairman for Western European studies. In 1985, he applied for a full-time job at the FSI teaching Western European studies, and in 1999, Myers took a position at the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR), as the senior European analyst. Myers stayed in that position until his retirement in 2007. After his retirement from the State Department in 2007, Myers returned to SAIS and worked there until his arrest. On the afternoon of April 15, 2009, Myers was approached by an FBI undercover source while leaving SAIS. The undercover source told Myers that he had been sent to contact Myers by a Cuban intelligence officer (identified in the complaint as co-conspirator “D”). The undercover source told Myers that the reason for the contact was because of the changes taking place in Cuba and the new U.S. administration. The source also wished Myers a happy birthday and gave him a Cuban cigar. Myers, convinced the undercover source was authentic, agreed to bring his wife to a meeting with the source at a Washington hotel later that evening. Spilling the Beans According to the complaint, the FBI undercover source met with the Myers on three occasions, April 15, April 16 and April 30, at different Washington-area hotels. During these meetings, they divulged a great deal of information pertaining to their work as Cuban agents. They provided information regarding what they passed to the Cuban government, how Kendall obtained the information and how they passed the information to their handlers. They also detailed their meetings with handlers and the methods they used to communicate with them. According to the complaint, Kendall Myers proudly told the source that he provided information at the Secret and Top Secret levels to the Cubans. When asked by the source if he had furnished information from the CIA, Kendall Myers responded “all the time.” He said that he preferred to take notes on classified documents rather than smuggle them out directly, but at times, he smuggled classified material out of the State Department in his briefcase, only to return the documents the next day after he had duplicated them. This information was then passed to handlers during meetings or by brush passes. Many of the meetings took place in New York, and the Myers felt those meetings were very dangerous. Gwendolyn admitted to having passed documents by exchanging shopping carts in a grocery store. The Myers also told the source about a shortwave radio set that they used to receive coded messages from their handler. After the September 2001 arrest of Ana Montes, the Defense Intelligence Agency’s (DIA) senior Cuba analyst (who admitted to spying for Cuba for ideological motives), the Myers became much more careful about contacts with their handler, and most face-to-face contact after that time was accomplished outside of the United States. They told the source that between January 2002 and December 2005, they traveled to Trinidad and Tobago, Jamaica, Ecuador, Brazil, Argentina and Mexico in order to meet with Cuban handlers. The FBI was able to verify all these trips through official records. After a confrontation with a supervisor at INR after returning from a 2006 trip to China, the Myers became very concerned that they had been identified and placed on a watch list by the INR supervisor. At that time, they told the source, they destroyed all their clandestine communications equipment, except for their shortwave radio and their false travel documents. They refused to travel to Mexico after this point because they believed it was too dangerous. The Myers continued to receive periodic messages from their handler, who had begun to communicate via e-mail, following the Montes case. They also passed encrypted messages to their handler via e-mail. Gwendolyn noted that they would never use their own computer for such communication but used computers at Internet cafes instead. The complaint provided the details of two e-mail messages the Myers received in December 2008 and March 2009 from a Cuban intelligence officer in Mexico, who asked for a meeting with them in Mexico. The intelligence officer was operating under the guise of an art dealer named Peter Herrera. The e-mails asked the Myers to come and see what he had for them. They responded to the e-mails saying they were delighted to hear from Peter and to learn that his art gallery was still open to them, but that they had not yet made travel plans for the coming year. The Myers told the source that they thought traveling to Mexico for a meeting with Peter was too risky. They also confirmed that Peter was a pseudonym used by a Cuban intelligence officer. When the source asked the Myers during the third meeting if their trip to Mexico in 2005 had been “the end” (meaning the end of their work for the Cuban intelligence service), Kendall Myers replied that their work would continue, but that he wanted to work in more of a reserve status, where he would talk to contacts, rather than resume work as a full-time U.S. government employee. When the source told the Myers he was going to send a report to Cuba with information pertaining to them, Gwendolyn reportedly said, “be sure and tell them we love them.” They arranged to meet with the source on June 4, at yet another Washington-area hotel, and were arrested by the FBI when they appeared for that meeting. If the recordings of the three meetings have been accurately represented in the complaint, they are going to be very damaging to the Myers. Additionally, several of the physical items recovered during a search conducted on the Myers residence will also be strong evidence, such as the shortwave radio set and a travel guide printed in Cuba in the mid- to late-1990s, which would seem to substantiate their illicit 1995 visit. ‘I’ — The Cuban Staple When discussing espionage cases, we often refer to an old Cold War acronym — MICE — to explain the motivations of spies. MICE stands for money, ideology, compromise and ego. Traditionally, money has proved to be the No. 1 motivation, but as seen in Kendall Myers’ journal entries and in the meetings with the source, the Myers were motivated solely by ideology and not by money. In fact, the complaint provides no indication that the Myers had ever sought or accepted money from the Cuban intelligence service for their espionage activities. According to the complaint, the Myers were scathing in their criticism of the United States during their meetings with the source. In addition to their criticism of U.S. government policy, they were also very critical of American people, whom they referred to as “North Americans.” Myers said the problem with the United States is that it is full of too many North Americans. The Myers also expressed their love for Cuba and for the ideals of the Cuban revolution. In the first meeting with the source, Kendall asked the source, “How is everybody at home?” referring to Cuba. Gwendolyn expressed her desire to use the couple’s boat to “sail home,” meaning travel to Cuba. The couple also provided the source with details of a January 1995 trip they took to Cuba. According to the Myers, in addition to receiving “lots of medals” from the Cuban government (something commonly awarded to ideological spies by the Soviet KGB), the best thing they received was the opportunity to meet Fidel Castro. The couple stated they had the opportunity to spend about four hours one evening with the Cuban leader. According to the FBI complaint, Kendall told the source that Castro was “wonderful, just wonderful” and Gwendolyn added, “He’s the most incredible statesman for a hundred years for goodness sake.” During the third meeting, the couple also allegedly talked to the source about Ana Montes. Kendall told the source that Montes is a “hero … but she took too many chances … in my opinion … she wasn’t paranoid enough.” Gwendolyn added “but she loved it, she did what she loved to do.” Kendall added, “We have a great admiration for Ana Montes.” Gwendolyn also noted that, “I envy her being able to love what she was doing and say what she was doing and why she was doing it ‘cause I can’t do that.” This is significant because during her trial, Montes was unrepentant and railed against the United States when she read a statement during her sentencing hearing. Gwendolyn appeared to be responding to Montes’ public statement. In view of the Myers’ case, the Montes case and other cases, like that involving Carlos and Elsa Alvarez, the Cubans clearly prefer to use agents who are ideologically motivated. Lessons In addition to the Cuban preference for ideologically motivated agents, perhaps one of the greatest lessons that can be taken from the Myers’ case is simply a reminder that espionage did not end with the conclusion of the Cold War. According to the FBI complaint, a Cuban intelligence officer attempted to contact the Myers as recently as March 2009. This case also shows that the Cuban intelligence service is very patient and is willing to wait for the agents it recruits to move into sensitive positions within the U.S. government. It took several years for Myers to get situated in a job with access to highly classified information. The Myers investigation also shows that the Cuban agents are not always obviously people working on Cuban issues — Myers was a European affairs specialist. There is also a possibility that the Cubans sold or traded intelligence they gained from Myers pertaining to Europe to their Soviet (and later Russian) friends. While at INR, it is significant that Myers not only had access to information collected by State Department employees in the field, but also was privy to all-source intelligence reporting from the rest of the intelligence community (CIA, FBI, NSA, DIA, etc.) According to the complaint, an analysis of Myers’ work computer revealed that from August 2006 to October 2007, Myers looked at more than 200 intelligence reports pertaining to Cuba; 75 of those reports made no mention of countries within Myers’ area of interest (Europe), and most of the documents were classified either Secret or Top Secret. The government will have to conduct a damage assessment that will attempt to trace everything Myers had access to during his entire career, which will no doubt encompass thousands of documents. As the State Department’s representative to the intelligence community, INR is also involved in crafting policy papers and national intelligence estimates. Myers began working at the State Department before there was electronic access to records, so it will be very difficult to identify every document he had access to. But in addition to the actual documents he viewed, Myers also had the opportunity to chat with many colleagues about what they were working on and to ask their opinions of policies and events, so the damage goes much further than just documents, which complicates the damage assessment. He was also in charge of training new INR analysts, which could have allowed him an opportunity to assess which analysts were the best possible targets for Cuban recruitment efforts. The information Myers could have provided while at the FSI is more subtle, but no less valuable from an intelligence operational perspective. Myers could have acted as a spotter, letting his handlers know which officers were moving through the institute, where they were going to be assigned, and perhaps even indicating which ones he thought were the best candidates for recruitment based on observed vulnerabilities. He could have served a similar function while at SAIS, pointing out promising students for the Cubans to focus on — especially students who agreed with his view of American policy, and who might be targeted for recruitment using an ideological approach. While Montes did graduate with a master’s degree from SAIS in 1988, she was already working at the DIA (and for the Cubans) by the time she began her graduate work there, so it is unlikely that Myers was involved in her recruitment. In the end, it will likely take months, if not years, for the government to do a full damage assessment on this case. One of the other interesting factors regarding this case is that in spite of Myers’ strong anti-American political beliefs — which were reportedly expressed in his classes — none of the background investigations conducted on him by the State Department provided any indication of concern. Furthermore, he was cleared for access to Top Secret material in 1985 and Sensitive Compartmentalized Information (SCI) in 1999 — 20 years after he was recruited by the Cubans. Apparently the agents and investigators who conducted his background investigations did not dig deeply enough uncover the warning signs of his radical beliefs, or the people they interviewed knowingly withheld such information. With Montes arrested at DIA, and now Myers from INR, it certainly makes one wonder where the next ideologically driven Cuban agent will be found inside the U.S. intelligence community. Tell STRATFOR What You Think For Publication in Letters to STRATFORNot For Publication This report may be forwarded or republished on your website with attribution to http://www.stratfor.com/ Please feel free to distribute this Intelligence Report to friends or repost to your Web site linking to http://www.stratfor.com/.

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

DTN News: Indonesia Set To Ratify Nuclear Treaty After US

DTN News: Indonesia Set To Ratify Nuclear Treaty After US
*Source: AFP (NSI News Source Info) Washington - June 10, 2009: Indonesia on Monday offered a boost to President Barack Obama's vision of a nuclear-free world, pledging to ratify a treaty banning nuclear tests if the US Senate does. Just as India and Pakistan have come out of the nuclear shadows, several other nations also have advanced nuclear programs. Obama said in April said he would ask the Senate to ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), part of his ambitious goal of eliminating nuclear weapons unveiled in a speech in Prague. Indonesia is one of nine countries including the United States that need to ratify the treaty, which would ban all nuclear explosions everywhere for any purpose, to come into force. "We share his vision of a world in which nuclear weapons have been eradicated," Indonesian Foreign Minister Hassan Wirajuda said on a visit to Washington. "We trust that he will succeed in getting the CTBT ratified -- and we promise that when that happens, Indonesia will immediately follow suit," he said at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Wirajuda spoke before a meeting with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who visited Jakarta in February in a sign of the new US administration's interest in the world's largest Muslim-majority nation. While Obama's anti-nuclear initiative was mostly warmly received around the world, one holdout from the treaty -- North Korea -- brazenly defied it by testing an atomic bomb last month. The other nations that have not ratified the treaty are India and Pakistan, which both refuse even to sign it, along with China, Egypt, Iran and Israel. Wirajuda said Indonesia -- which operates nuclear reactors but does not have nuclear weapons -- held back ratification because it was "dismayed" that other nations were moving ahead with the ultra-destructive weapons. "The threat of a nuclear holocaust has (been growing) simply because for a long time it was forgotten -- until President Obama came on the scene," Wirajuda said. Wirajuda said Indonesia was ready to help the United States negotiate with North Korea and Iran, which is suspected of seeking nuclear weapons. Indonesia maintains friendly relations with both Tehran and Pyongyang. Obama spent part of his childhood in Indonesia, an experience he credits with giving him a greater understanding of the Islamic world. In turn, Obama is wildly popular in much of Indonesia, in contrast to predecessor George W. Bush. Wirajuda lavished praise on Obama's speech last week in Cairo, in which the US leader called for a "new beginning" with the Muslim world after years of mutual suspicion. "The echoes of a great speech -- one of the greatest speeches I have ever heard from a world leader -- are still ringing in my ears and in the ears of all humankind," Wirajuda said. He said that Indonesia and the United States can work together to advance common global goals including religious tolerance and democracy. The US-Indonesia Society, which promotes ties between the two nations, released recommendations for building a "comprehensive partnership" between the world's second and third largest democracies. It called for an end to a ban on US military training of Indonesian units accused of human rights violations before the transition to democracy, saying that Washington should instead only blacklist individuals over wrongdoing.

Saturday, June 06, 2009

DTN News: Russia - No Nuclear Cuts If US Unclear On Missile Defence

DTN News: Russia - No Nuclear Cuts If US Unclear On Missile Defence (NSI News Source Info) MOSCOW - June 6, 2009: Russia's military on Friday warned the US that it would not reduce its nuclear arsenal until Washington made clear whether or not it would go ahead with a controversial missile shield in Central Europe. The comments by the country's top general exposed a potential hitch as the two sides hold talks on replacing a key Cold War-era nuclear arms reduction treaty by the end of the year. "While the situation in the world is unclear, including concerning the missile defence system, we will not touch our nuclear potential," Russian news agencies quoted the army's chief of staff Nikolai Makarov as saying. Makarov was referring to the US plan to install missile defence facilities in the Czech Republic and Poland, which Moscow insists is a threat to its security even though Washington says it is directed against Iran. The plan was initiated by the previous US administration of George W. Bush but President Barack Obama has pledged to press ahead with the missile shield but indicated he could drop the project if Iran is no longer deemed a nuclear threat. "We will be making practically no changes to the Russian strategic missile forces," added Makarov. "Strategic nuclear forces are a sacred question for us and we will give them as many resources as required to preserve stability in the world and keep it at an appropriate level," he added. The announcement from Makarov comes as Russia and the United States hold talks aimed at cutting their nuclear arsenals and finding a successor a 1991 treaty due to expire at the end of the year. The Interfax news agency quoted a source in the Russian foreign ministry as saying the latest talks on replacing the treaty had been "constructive". The confidential negotiations are meant to feed in to a summit between Obama and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev in Moscow on July 6-8 that is expected to push forward improving ties. The 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START), signed just before the break-up of the Soviet Union, commits both sides to deep cuts in their nuclear arsenals. It expires on December 5. The United States and Russia also have the more recent Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty signed in 2002, which went further than START with lower caps on the total deployment of warheads. Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Friday that "unchecked proliferation of nuclear weapons threatens all mankind" and that both Russia and the United States were aware of their responsibility to other nations as nuclear powers. A senior Russian diplomat said this week that Moscow was still awaiting a "concretisation" of signals from the US on the missile shield, which he said Russia still deemed "an unnecessary complication in bilateral relations." Ties between Russia and the United States plunged to a post-Cold War low in the last months of the Bush presidency after Moscow's war with Georgia but the tone has improved drastically since Obama came to power. Makarov also complained that the Georgian armed forces were now better equipped with weapons and military hardware than they were in the August war. He added that Russia would also carry out large-scale military exercises in its neighbour Belarus in September.

Monday, April 13, 2009

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu 'Ready For Peace Talks'

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu 'Ready For Peace Talks'
(NSI News Source Info) April 13, 2009: Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu has told Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas he intends to resume talks and co-operation to promote peace. It was their first contact since Mr Netanyahu took office on 31 March. Mr Abbas initiated the telephone call, which Mr Netanyahu's office described as "friendly and warm". The new Israeli leader has not publicly endorsed the creation of a fully independent Palestinian state - a fundamental demand of the Palestinians. An Israeli statement said that during his conversation with Mr Abbas, Mr Netanyahu "recalled their past co-operation and conversations, and how he intended to resume this in the future in order to advance peace". 'Not binding' Mr Netanyahu leads a right-leaning coalition, which combines the centre-right, centre-left and far-right parties. Likud Party leader Benjamin Netanyahu (R) and fellow member, Israel Katz (L), greet supporters as they head to the polls to select the party's Knesset list, at Tel Aviv's fairgrounds on January 12, 2006. Hassan Nasrallah, the head of Lebanon's Shiite fundamentalist movement Hezbollah and a nemesis of Israel, "deserves death," Israel Katz, Israeli transport minister and a close to hawkish premier Benjamin Netanyahu told army radio on April 12, 2009. His remarks came several days after Egypt's prosecutor announced the arrest of 49 people linked with Hezbollah, suspected of planning attacks in Egypt. Nasrallah confirmed on March 10 that one of those detained, Sami Shihab, is a member of Hezbollah, but denied seeking to destabilise the country, saying the man was responsible for helping transport arms to the Hamas rulers in Gaza. During his campaign, he said he was willing to negotiate with the Palestinians but that it was premature to talk of statehood. Instead, he offered Palestinians "economic peace". Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, who leads the right-wing Yisrael Beiteinu party, has dismissed past peace initiatives by US administrations. He has also said the previous Israeli government's acceptance of Palestinian statehood was not binding. On Saturday, chief Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat reiterated his administration's position that that for peace talks to resume, Israel must declare its support for a two-state solution.

Monday, April 06, 2009

US Seeks To Bring About Political Reform In Pakistan

US Seeks To Bring About Political Reform In Pakistan
(NSI News Source Info) WASHINGTON - April 6, 2009: In its new strategy for the Pak-Afghan region, the US administration seems to have undertaken an ambitious plan for Pakistan which entails political restructuring as well as changing perceptions. The restructuring involves bringing the ISI effectively under civilian control. To achieve the other goal, the Americans are seeking to change Pakistan’s perception of India as an enemy. The restructuring involves bringing the ISI effectively, and not just technically, under civilian control. To achieve the other goal, the Americans are seeking to change Pakistan’s perception of India as an enemy. As a replacement, they are offering a new enemy: the militants operating along the Pak-Afghan border. Since March 27, when President Barack Obama unveiled the new US strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan, a number of US officials — including at least three senior generals — have publicly acknowledged seeking to change both the ISI and Pakistan’s perception of India. Pakistan’s former ambassador to the US and the UK, Dr Maleeha Lodhi, currently visiting North America on a lecture tour, pointed out that recent statements by US officials blaming the ISI for backing the militants were ‘unprecedented’. ‘Such complaints are dealt with in private meetings, not in the media,’ she said. But the first indication that the Americans, as well as some of their Pakistani allies, want to go public with their complaints against the ISI came in July when Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani visited Washington. During the visit, his adviser for interior affairs, Rahman Malik, surprised the media by saying that the Americans wanted them to take on the ISI. Just before the visit, the Gilani government made a move to bring the ISI under Mr Malik but had to withdraw after a hostile reaction both in the media and by the defence establishment. Other observers noted that the move was causing new political alignments in Pakistan. Two important political figures, Prime Minister Gilani and Nawaz Sharif, are openly defending the ISI while President Asif Ali Zardari and those close to him appear to be weighing their options. Diplomatic observers in Washington say that at least some elements in the current Pakistani government are quietly watching if the Americans are only interested in severing the agency’s alleged ties to the militants or would help them reduce ISI’s domestic influence as well. If they are assured that the Americans can also help reduce the agency’s influence in domestic politics, they will support the American move,” one such observer said. The observers pointed out that in the last week of March President Zardari had a secret meeting in Dubai with US special envoy for Afghanistan and Pakistan Richard Holbrooke. Pakistan’s Ambassador to the US Hussain Haqqani and the US Ambassador in the UAE Richard G. Olson Jr also attended this meeting. While the contents of the meeting were never made public, the observers believe that sensitive issues like the ISI’s alleged links to the militants must have been discussed. The US complaints, however, are not confined to the ISI. Lisa Curtis, a senior scholar attached with a Washington think-tank, the Heritage Foundation, recently wrote that the Americans had complaints against other senior officials of the Pakistani military as well. ‘Last spring … US intelligence agencies apparently intercepted messages in which Pakistani army chief General Kayani referred to Afghan militant commander Jalaluddin Haqqani as a ‘strategic asset,’ she wrote. Observers believe that the current American ‘pressure tactics’ is meant only to convince Pakistan not to retain its links to the militants. So, there is no desire to reconfigure Washington’s relations with the Pakistani military.

Saturday, April 04, 2009

DTN News: Why The F-22 Remains Vital And Important Factor To Be Maintained Part #3

DTN News: Why The F-22 Remains Vital And Important Factor To Be Maintained Part #3
(NSI News Source Info) April 4, 2009: For 10 years, the Air Force has argued that the F-22’s incredible dogfighting capabilities will ensure the U.S. remains dominant for decades. And for 10 years, critics who say the fighter is an overpriced Cold War relic have steadily whittled down the service’s Raptor budget. It’s time for a new argument. The F-22’s superior dogfighting capabilities are barely relevant. Yes, formidable new fighters are being fielded by potential adversaries, notably the Russian-built Su-37 and MiG-31 and the Chinese F-11. The F-22 is far superior to these older-technology, nonstealthy aircraft, but the F-35 would also far outperform any of these models. As a consequence, the dogfighting rationale for the F-22 has never gained much traction outside the Air Force. Air Force leaders need to regroup and posit a rationale that the administration, Congress, the services and the American people can understand and support. The dogfighting gambit has not worked, but the need for maintaining air superiority is very real. The F-22 should become our chief asset for taking down enemy air defenses. Air superiority has two aspects: We prevent the enemy from using air power to attack our forces and facilities, but he cannot prevent us from attacking his. This second element is the most challenging. Since World War II, the Air Force has lost more than 2,700 aircraft in combat. Of those, fewer than 200 have been shot down in air-to-air engagements — and none since Vietnam. The other 93 percent have been either destroyed on the ground, or downed by anti-aircraft artillery and surface-to-air missiles. Now Russia has built new SAMs that are far more dangerous to our aircraft than anything we have yet faced. The S-400 system has an impressive range of up to 200 miles and would devastate nonstealthy fighter aircraft. Large and less maneuverable aircraft — tankers, airlifters and C2ISR platforms — would not stand a chance. These new SAM systems are proliferating, and we can expect that they will soon be in the arsenals of China, Iran, North Korea and Syria — if they are not already there. To employ our assets near the combat zone, we would have to take out the enemy SAM belt. Our current Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses assets could not do this — our anti-radiation missiles, carried by nonstealthy F-16s, are far outranged by the SAMs. It would be the classic case of taking a knife to a gun fight. But the F-22 could. With its superstealth and high speed, the F-22 could penetrate the enemy SAM belt, use its advanced radar and sensors to locate the enemy SAMs, and employ its internal ordnance of small-diameter bombs to destroy those sites. Removing these lethal missiles will then allow the thousands of other U.S. and allied aircraft to operate in the combat zone. Air superiority should remain the key mission of the F-22, but the threat is not the nonstealthy aircraft of potential adversaries. The threat is from the ground. Only a stealthy fighter with the capabilities of the F-22 can accomplish this crucial SEAD mission. The Air Force needs to remarket the Raptor. The old arguments about the need for a superior dogfighter are not credible. A SEAD asset is, however, essential. That is the vital mission the Raptor can perform peerlessly and for which it should be adapted.

General Dynamics Awarded General Services Administration Alliant Contract For Information-Technology Solutions

General Dynamics Awarded General Services Administration Alliant Contract For Information-Technology Solutions
(NSI News Source Info) FALLS CHURCH, Va. – April 4, 2009: General Dynamics has been awarded an Alliant contract by the U.S. General Services Administration (GSA) to provide federal government agencies with integrated information technology solutions for evolving needs on a global basis. Alliant is a 10-year multiple-award, indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity government-wide acquisition contract (GWAC). The contract has a $50 billion potential value among all 59 awardees if all options are exercised.
Through this contract, General Dynamics will provide infrastructure, application and information technology management services to support federal government agencies. Alliant is a successor contract to the Applications n’ Support for Widely Diverse End-User Requirements (ANSWER) and Millennia government-wide technology contracts. General Dynamics currently holds the ANSWER contract.
“As a long-standing partner of the General Services Administration, General Dynamics is committed to providing outstanding information technology and mission-support services to agencies throughout the federal government,” said Jerry DeMuro, executive vice president of the Information Systems and Technology group for General Dynamics. “General Dynamics will help federal agencies achieve seamless and efficient access to the vital information-technology solutions necessary for them to successfully fulfill their missions.”
General Dynamics, headquartered in Falls Church, Va., employs approximately 92,300 people worldwide. The company is a market leader in business aviation; land and expeditionary combat systems, armaments and munitions; shipbuilding and marine systems; and information systems and technologies. More information about General Dynamics is available online at www.gd.com.

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Why The F-22 Remains Vital And Important Factor To Be Maintained Part #2

Why The F-22 Remains Vital And Important Factor To Be Maintained Part #2
(NSI News Source Info) March 24, 2009: For some nations that are adversaries of the United States, the solution to the challenge of neutralizing U.S. intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance systems is near at hand. Positioning of advanced surface-to-air missiles along border regions can put all current unmanned ISR platforms at risk of being unable to survey crisis areas. Russia's actions in the former Soviet republic of Georgia in August 2008 lasted briefly, but they were enough to create a prototype lockout scenario. The Russian Northern Caucasus military district had nearly 300 fighter aircraft: 105 Mikoyan-Gurevich MiG-29s, 30 Sukhoi Su-24s, 59 Sukhoi Su-27s and 100 Sukhoi Su-25s. Add in the now common SA-20 surface-to-air missile with its fire-control range of 75 miles, and it would have been possible to layer enough air defenses to make reconnaissance nearly impossible. Even the high-flying Global Hawk might not be able to evade top-line Russian air defenses every time. An airborne intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance lockout over Iran would put the United States and the international community in a very uncomfortable position. One potential solution is deployment of the Lockheed Martin/Boeing F-22 Raptor to signal the potential to hold surface-to-air missile systems at risk. Intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance lockout is also imminent over Iran. Reports from summer 2008 suggested that the Islamic Republic of Iran was awaiting delivery of the SA-20, and could have operational systems by the end of 2009. U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates remarked on July 9, 2008, that Iran would not get the SA-20s "any time soon," but a senior U.S. defense official quickly clarified that the time period indicated was "months." Beyond this, several scenarios are possible, and all show the need for the F-22 Raptor's contribution to conventional deterrence. One of the most vexing, near-term scenarios would be F-22 deployment to support action over Iran. Two factors are at work. First is the strengthening of Iran's air defenses that threaten lockout. Second, recent intelligence reports have estimated that the period of vulnerability for Iran to develop nuclear weapons would be around the year 2015. Stern words have had little impact to date. "The international community cannot allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons," wrote U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Zalmay Khalilzad on March 4, 2008, in The Wall Street Journal. Half a year later, nothing had changed. Iran is "determined to develop nuclear weapons at this point," said Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, as reported in The Washington Post on Oct. 28, 2008. Definitive signs of weapons deployment by a bellicose regime in Iran might lead to a decision in favor of pre-emptive, multinational action.

Sunday, March 22, 2009

EU, Russia Welcome U.S. President Barack Obama's Dialogue Offer To Iran

EU, Russia Welcome U.S. President Barack Obama's Dialogue Offer To Iran
(NSI News Source Info) March 22, 2009: The European Union (EU) and Russia welcomed US President Barack Obama's offer to Iran Friday for a new start, with the US commitment to engagement, not threats, in its pursuit of diplomacy. Obama, in a message to Iranians early Friday, said the effort could not be one-sided, suggesting the people of Iran also "have a choice" about whether they take their "rightful place in the community of nations". "That place cannot be reached through terror or arms but rather through peaceful actions that demonstrate the true greatness of the Iranian people and civilisation," Obama said. There was no immediate official reaction in Iran, where there was a public New Year holiday, to Obama's offer made in remarks broadcast by the Voice of America's (VOA) Persian news network, which is widely viewed by satellite in Iran. Moscow said it saw no signs that Iran's nuclear programme has a military purpose while Brussels described the US offer of direct talks with Tehran as "very good" and "very constructive". An Iranian presidential press advisor, who holds no official position, reacted coolly to the offer and just reiterated the stance of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that the US should change its policies in practice before approaching Iran after three decades of diplomatic estrangement. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed, in a pre-recorded message released Friday, to continue the country's nuclear work, saying: "The (nuclear) progress in Iran in the last (Persian) year has been significant and its continuation will bring the Iranian nation further international recognition and credit." Obama's message reflected his promise of diplomacy and engagement with Iran made through his 2008 election campaign and marked a stark departure from his predecessor George W. Bush, who refused to deal with Iran's leaders. Obama did not mention uranium enrichment but noted that the US has "serious differences that have grown over time". Javier Solana, the EU's top diplomat, who heads international negotiations over Iran's nuclear programme, Friday said Obama's offer was "very good". "I hope very much Iran will pay good attention to what has been said by President Obama. I hope this will open a new chapter in the relations with Tehran," Solana told journalists in Brussels. Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, reacting to Obama's message said Russia still sees no sign that Iran's nuclear programme has military purpose, and welcomed the steps taken by Obama's administration to renew dialogue. "It is very important to us that the new US administration is taking steps to meet Iran part-way in the political-diplomatic sphere. We consider this optimal," he said. As Russia nears completion of Iran's first nuclear power plant at Bushehr, the US and many Western European countries have not dropped long-held suspicions that Tehran's civilian nuclear programme serves as a cover for ambitions to build atomic weapons. Iran's nuclear programme is expected to be one of the top questions on the agenda when Obama and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev hold talks on the sidelines of the G20 summit in London in April. According to Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation, 6,000 centrifuges were currently operating in the Natanz plant in central Iran and the country is expected to increase the number of the centrifuges to 10,000 by April and run 50,000 centrifuges within the next five years. Tehran has indicated it is ready to remove all international concern that its nuclear work is solely for civil purposes and generating electricity and has welcomed the presence of the US in the negotiations but rejects any preconditions prior to the talks.

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Why The F-22 Remains Vital And Important Factor To Be Maintained

Why The F-22 Remains Vital And Important Factor To Be Maintained
(NSI News Source Info) Arlington, Va. - March 21, 2009: What type of military forces will be most in demand to fight the wars of the 21st century? Telling signs are already evident. -- In 2007 Russian Tupolev Tu-95 Bear bombers and Ilyushin Il-78 tankers resumed patrols in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans and near the Arctic Circle after a 15-year absence. -- China's active space program has tested satellite destruction and manned orbital capabilities. -- Russia may have had a hand in cyberattacks on Estonia in 2007 and Georgia in 2008. -- China has been admonished by Germany, Britain and the United States for attempted penetrations of government networks. -- Russia conducted a combined-arms incursion into the former Soviet republic of Georgia in the Caucasus in August 2008, complete with mechanized vehicles, airstrikes and mobile missile forces. In this environment, conventional deterrence will rely heavily on superior air, space and cyberspace capabilities. The United States' big advantage comes from the ability to threaten a successful and persistent airstrike against key targets. Calibrating the flexible deterrent options requires real-time information on threats and options. Job one is to survey and assess the situation. One of the most important aspects of deterrence -- both conventional and nuclear -- is correctly characterizing crises and the actions and posture of adversary military forces. Real-time intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance is in high demand by the international community as it takes its first steps in considering action during a crisis. Decision-makers want to know what friendly and adversary forces are really doing, where key units are positioned, and how the situation is changing. Reflecting this, U.S. joint doctrine explicitly lists positioning of ISR assets as part of flexible deterrent operations. In the Balkans in the early 1990s, the U.S.-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization set up surveillance and no-fly zones long before committing to further action. Operations against terrorism consume ISR. With current forces, it is easy to picture force options such as a deployment of the Global Hawk unmanned aerial system and other ISR assets, along with fighter forces, to signal resolve and shape a crisis. In Iraq and Afghanistan, the United States and its partners have grown accustomed to a level of ISR unprecedented in warfare. It began with the early use of unmanned aerial systems Predator and Global Hawk in Afghanistan, and has spiraled to the point where a combination of systems can track terrorist movements visually and electronically. ISR is not perfect, but it provides an addictive level of information. Space platforms play a role, but the most sophisticated, sensitive ISR depends on near-complete control of the airspace so that aircraft of all types may operate with impunity.

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Russia Considers Temporary Air Bases In Americas

Russia Considers Temporary Air Bases In Americas
(NSI News Source Info) MOSCOW - March 14, 2009: Russia could use bases for its strategic bombers on the doorstep of the United States in Cuba and Venezuela to underpin long-distance patrols in the region, a senior air force officer said March 14. "This is possible in Cuba," Gen. Anatoly Zhikharev, chief of the Russian air force's strategic aviation staff, told the Interfax-AVN military news agency. The comments were the latest signal that Moscow intends to project its military capability in far-flung corners of the globe despite a tight defense budget and hardware that experts consider in many respects outdated. Zhikharev indicated that Russia was looking only at occasional use of the facilities - not setting up permanent bases in the region. He noted that the Venezuelan constitution prohibited establishment of military bases of foreign states on Venezuelan territory and described the Russian possible use of the facility there as "we land, we complete the flight, we take off." Zhikharev said Cuba had a several air bases equipped with the long runways needed by the heavy bombers and said the facilities there were "entirely acceptable" for use by the Russian aircraft during long-distance patrols. "If the will of the two states is there, the political will, then we are prepared to fly there" to the bases in Cuba, the agency quoted Zhikharev as saying. The general also said that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez had offered to let Russian strategic bombers use a military airfield on La Orchila island, a military base off the west coast of the country. "Yes, there has been such a proposal from the Venezuelan president," Zhikharev said. "If a relevant political decision is made, this is possible," he added. Russia resumed patrols by its long-distance strategic bombers in August 2007 after a 15-year hiatus, noting at the time that it was mirroring the United States, which never suspended its global bomber patrols after the Cold War. Last year, Russia temporarily based a pair of Tu-160 bombers at an airbase in Venezuela in a carefully-choreographed display of force regarded by as a warning message to the United States. A Russian flotilla led by the nuclear-powered cruiser Peter the Great also joined Venezuelan navy vessels for maneuvers in the Caribbean late last year, timed to coincide with a visit to the region by President Dmitry Medvedev. The previous U.S. administration of George W. Bush officially shrugged off the Russian aviation and naval moves in Latin America, characterizing them as more for show than anything representing a military worry for the United States. In July, however, a top U.S. air force officer warned that Russia would cross "a red line" if it were to base nuclear capable bombers in Cuba. "If they did, I think we should stand strong and indicate that is something that crosses a threshold, crosses a red line for the United States of America," Gen. Norton Schwartz said on July 23. The Interfax report said there were three types of Russian aircraft capable of long-distance bomber patrols: the Tu-95MS, the Tu-160 and the Tu-22. It was Tu-160 strategic bombers that were sent to Venezuela for temporary basing last year. Each aircraft of this type is capable of carrying 12 cruise missiles that can be fitted with nuclear warheads.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

The Iskander: Unmistakable Message From Medvedev To US

The Iskander: Unmistakable Message From Medvedev To US
(NSI News Source Info) March 12, 2009: Russia will not look on indifferently while the United States deploys the third positioning component of its missile defense shield in Eastern Europe. This was the unmistakable message from Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in his no-nonsense state-of-the-nation address recently. If countermeasures are necessary, Russia will deploy the Iskander theater missile system in Kaliningrad. Furthermore, according to Med­vedev, Russia reserves the right to use electronic jamming devices against the missile shield.
The president's position is very simple: deployment of an anti-missile system in Poland and the Czech Republic is a direct threat to Russia's nuclear potential. The 10 ground-based interceptor (GBI) missiles planned for Poland cannot, of course, hope to parry a full-scale strike by the Russian Strategic Missile Forces and missile-carrying submarines.
But the strategic importance of these interceptor missiles would increase greatly were the U.S. to deliver a nuclear first strike against Russia. In such a scenario, the interceptor missiles would be forced to contend with the reduced number of missiles that survived the first strike. This would allow the U.S. some hope for success and, for the first time since the 1950s, ‘victory' in a nuclear war. The Iskander theater missile system is Russia's answer to the possible appearance of elements of a U.S. anti-missile system in Eastern Europe. The range of the Iskander in its basic form is 300 kilometers. In the opinion of missile specialists, it can easily be extended to 500 kilometers - and more should Russia decide to walk away from the 1987 Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. Additionally, the Iskander can be equipped with more than just ballistic missiles. The system can also launch long-range cruise missiles; R-500s have already been successfully test-fired from the Iskander. The range of a cruise-missile system can potentially exceed 2,000 kilometers, thus making it possible to hit targets across Western Europe. Iskander mobile launchers deployed in Kaliningrad (and possibly in Belarus), even in their standard configuaration, would be capable of delivering a sudden strike, including with nuclear warheads, at most of Poland. Rapid deployment, which takes a few minutes, combined with the characteristics of the missile itself, increase the probability of successfully engaging targets, especially in view of the fact that the main targets - the interceptor missile launchers - are fixed. The deployment of Iskanders and electronic countermeasures in Kaliningrad is certain to produce a response from the United States.
Its first step will be to give Patriot ground-to-air missile systems to Poland (an agreement to pass a Patriot battery of 12 launchers with an ammunition load of 96 missiles to the Wojsko Polskie has already been achieved).
However, Patriots do not guarantee the safety of GBI missile launchers. In order to make them more secure, the U.S. might reinforce Poland's Air Force with modern strike aircraft that are able to destroy the Iskanders before they can launch their missiles. Finally, there is the possibility that U.S. Air Force units and formations could be deployed in Poland. Russia understands the possibility of such a development of events. So, in addition to deploying Iskander missile systems and electronic jamming devices in the Kaliningrad Region, it can strengthen its grouping of ground, air force and air defense troops in the area, both by beefing up existing units to scale, and by sending in additional reserves. Naturally, such an escalation will increase tensions in Eastern Europe. We are currently observing a reopening of the Cold War's European front, which is now moved several hundred kilometers eastwards. Russia started warning about the undesirability and danger of deploying of a U.S. anti-missile system in Europe many years ago.
Its statements have gradually intensified in expression, from regrets over the lack of a normal dialogue to a direct threat to suppress the system by force. Meanwhile, the U.S. continues to chant the mantra of the anti-Iranian purpose of the European missile shield. But the question: "why can't a missile defense system be deployed in Turkey" has never been adequately answered. To sum up, we have the following picture: an "anti-Iranian" missile defense system will be deployed in the next two to three years in an area clearly beyond the reach of Iran's existing and projected missiles, but very convenient for intercepting missiles launched from European Russia in a northern and a north-western direction.
The immediate targets of this system are the 28th, 54th, 60th and other Strategic Missile divisions deployed west of the Urals. A simple look at the numbers shows that although there are several Topols and UR-100s for each American interceptor, this ratio would only stand until the first nuclear strike. The concern is that it could be tempting to initiate a first strike when you have a system that protects against retaliation. It is only to be hoped that a new U.S. administration will hear Russia's case and agree to develop a mechanism of collective security in Europe. If not, future developments in this region could be hard to predict.

Monday, March 02, 2009

New START Treaty Could Be Ready By Yearend - Russian Diplomat

New START Treaty Could Be Ready By Yearend - Russian Diplomat
(NSI News Source Info) MOSCOW - March 2, 2009: A new treaty between Russia and the U.S. on the reduction of strategic nuclear arsenals could be prepared by the end of 2009, a senior Russian diplomat has said. "We are certain that with political will, this document could be prepared before the current START expires, that is before December 5 this year," Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said in an interview with the Nezavisimaya Gazeta newspaper published on Monday. The Strategic Arms Reduction (START-1) Treaty signed between the Soviet Union and the United States in 1991 places a limit of 6,000 strategic or long-range nuclear warheads on each side, and limits the number of delivery vehicles, such as bombers, land-based and submarine-based missiles, to 1,600 each. "We would like to take all the best things from the current START treaty, and put this cooperation experience, which proved to be effective, into a new legally binging document," the deputy minister said. Commenting on media reports that the U.S. administration would like the number of nuclear warheads on both sides cut to 1,000, or an 80% reduction, Ryabkov said Russia still had not received any official confirmation about the reduction parameters that Washington is ready to propose. "All I can say is that we have no confirmation about the parameters of the cuts the U.S. is prepared to make, as reported in the world press, in particular by the Times and some other newspapers," he said. "We think that Washington is reviewing its policy in these areas and will make decisions, including on the future reduction parameters, while conducting the review," he added.

Sunday, March 01, 2009

Russia's Medvedev Hopes To Discuss Missile Shield With Obama

Russia's Medvedev Hopes To Discuss Missile Shield With Obama
(NSI News Source Info) MOSCOW - March 1, 2009: Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said on Sunday he hoped to discuss U.S. plans to deploy a missile shield system in Central Europe with U.S. President Barack Obama at a G20 summit in London. The summit of the G20 advanced and leading emerging economies will be held in April to shape a new global financial architecture and work out measures to fight the global financial crisis. In an interview with the Spanish media, Medvedev said he hoped the new U.S. administration will display a more creative approach to this issue than the previous administration. Medvedev said the U.S. idea to deploy elements of a missile shield in Europe was not topical and only caused the feeling of "disappointment" as it was aimed, if not directly, then indirectly, against Russia. "Of course, Russia does not like it. This is absolutely obvious. No one denies the existence of various threats, including the threats that may be accompanied by the acts of nuclear terrorism, threats from countries with instable regimes. But let us respond to these threats jointly rather than isolating each other from these processes," Medvedev said. Washington has agreed plans with Warsaw and Prague to deploy 10 interceptor missiles in Poland and a radar in the Czech Republic by 2013. The United States says the defenses are needed to deter possible strikes from "rogue states" such as Iran. Russia has consistently opposed the missile shield as a threat to its national security and the balance of security in Europe. Medvedev threatened in November to retaliate if the U.S. plans went ahead by deploying Iskander-M missiles in the country's westernmost exclave of Kaliningrad, which borders NATO members Poland and Lithuania. Obama indicated earlier that he may put on hold his predecessor George Bush's plans concerning the third site for Washington's global missile defense system, which he said needed more analysis.

Friday, February 27, 2009

Bolivia To Start Receiving Russian-Made Helicopters In April

Bolivia To Start Receiving Russian-Made Helicopters In April
(NSI News Source Info) MOSCOW - February 27, 2009: Russia is to deliver two helicopters to Bolivia at the beginning of April, Bolivia's anti-drug tsar has said, with reports suggesting that they will be used in the fight against the illicit drug business. Sources earlier reported that Bolivia had expressed interest in buying a number of Russian-made Mi-17 multipurpose helicopters to combat terrorism and drug trafficking. "As far as I know, two Russian helicopters will be shipped to Bolivia in the first weeks of April. They will be used to destroy cocaine plantations in the country," Felipe Caceres, deputy minister for social defense said on Thursday. Last year, disputes with Washington over anti-narcotics efforts badly strained Bolivia's ties with the U.S. administration. La Paz expelled the U.S. ambassador in September and suspended U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration operations in the country. Bolivia is currently the world's third largest producer of cocaine after Colombia and Peru, primarily supplying Europe and other markets in South America. According to UN data, coca cultivation in Bolivia has grown to 27,000 hectares, while the government managed to eradicate more than 6,000 hectares of coca during 2007 alone. Moscow has recently announced plans to supply a large number of helicopters to Bolivia as part of the expansion of its economic and military-technical ties with Latin American countries.

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Iran Builds S-300-Style Anti-Aircraft

Iran Builds S-300-Style Anti-Aircraft (NSI News Source Info) February 15, 2009: Iran's Defense Ministry says it has built a long-range anti-aircraft system capable of simultaneously striking multiple enemy targets. Iran's Defense Minister Mostafa Mohammad-Najjar said Wednesday that the new anti-aircraft missile defense system has been domestically produced. The production of Iran's S-300 style aircraft comes amid wild talks of an Israeli go-it-alone air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. The system is capable of intercepting multiple missiles and aircraft at once, at high altitude and long range. "This long-range anti-aircraft system can identify and track multiple targets and is capable of simultaneously destroying them from a long distance," Brigadier General Mohammad-Najjar said at the Islamic Revolution's military achievements exhibition. The Iranian minister added that the country's defense experts have also been successful in the domestic production of basic material for building surface-to-surface and surface-to-air missiles. The cited capacities of the newly-built Iranian missile calls to mind the Russian S-300 surface-to-air missile defense system. The advance version of the controversial S-300 system, the S-300PMU1 (SA-20 Gargoyle), can intercept 100 ballistic missiles and aircraft at once, at low and high altitudes within a range of over 150 km. According to earlier reports, Iran has been negotiating a deal with Russia to obtain the sophisticated defense system. However, neither side has so far issued an official confirmation on the delivery of the S-300 to Iran. Iran's increased mastery of missile technology comes amid widespread speculation about an Israeli military strike on Iran. The New York Times cited one of the newly-installed US administration officials speaking on condition of anonymity, as saying last week that "the first big foreign crisis of the Obama presidency is a really nasty confrontation, either because the Israelis strike or because we won't let them." Earlier in January The Times reported that the Israeli government had sought bunker-busting bombs from former president George W. Bush, and demanded refueling capability and overflight rights over Iraq to take out Iran's main nuclear enrichment plant at Natanz. The former president, however, deflected the secret Israeli request and revealed that -- as an alternative -- new covert actions intended to sabotage Iran's nuclear program had been authorized. The West has confronted Iran over its enrichment program, saying it is ultimately meant to build nuclear weapons. Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) signatory Tehran insists that its nuclear program is aimed at generating electricity. The UN nuclear watchdog responsible for investigating Iran's nuclear program said in its most recent report that there is no link between the use of nuclear material and the "alleged studies" of weaponization attributed to Iran by the West.

Sunday, February 08, 2009

NATO Commander Says Afghan Drug Raids Imminent; Expects Allies To Commit More Troops Soon

NATO Commander Says Afghan Drug Raids Imminent; Expects Allies To Commit More Troops Soon
(NSI News Source Info) MUNICH - February 9, 2009: In an effort to strike at a key income source for Taliban militants, the top NATO commander said Sunday that operations to attack drug lords and labs in Afghanistan will begin within the "next several days." Gen. John Craddock, who also heads the U.S. European Command, also said that the U.S. and its allies are making progress in their efforts to fill the need for more troops, equipment and intelligence gathering in Afghanistan. He, however, would not disclose any specific commitments he got this weekend as world leaders met at a security conference here. NATO defense ministers, during a meeting last fall in Hungary, authorized troops in Afghanistan to launch the drug attacks, but there had been questions about whether allies would be willing to follow through. Money from Afghanistan's booming illicit drug trade has been blamed for pumping up to $100 million a year into the coffers of resurgent Taliban fighters. "Activities and actions will occur soon that will be helpful," Craddock told reporters. "We've got to get started." The U.S. delegation to the security conference, led by Vice President Joe Biden, was expected to talk to allies this weekend about the ongoing need for support in Afghanistan. Craddock said he still needs about 5,000 NATO troops to bolster Afghan forces during the coming elections, and he is confident he will get them from other NATO nations. At the same time, he said he still has a critical need for trainers that he has yet to fill, and the expected announcement about a forthcoming build-up in U.S. forces has been delayed as the Pentagon juggles the numbers in the face of an ongoing review by the new Obama administration. Allies, said Craddock, "expected they would be asked to step up and do more. Now it's a matter of political will."

Monday, February 02, 2009

North Korea May Launch Missile / Fears Grow About Possible North Korea Missile Launch

North Korea May Launch Missile / Fears Grow About Possible North Korea Missile Launch
(NSI News Source Info) SEOUL - February 3, 2009: North Korea appears to be preparing to test-launch an intercontinental missile amid growing tensions on the peninsula, a South Korean intelligence source was quoted as saying Feb. 3. The source, quoted by Yonhap news agency, said U.S. and South Korean intelligence agencies have recently spotted a train carrying a long cylindrical object believed to be a Taepodong-2 missile. Launch preparations are likely to be completed in a month or two, the source said. Seoul's defense ministry and National Intelligence Service refused to comment on the report. Several analysts have said the communist state may stage some event such as a long-range missile launch to test the resolve of the new U.S. administration. The North has raised tensions with the South in recent months. Last week it announced it was scrapping a non-aggression pact, and Feb. 1 it warned of a possible military conflict. A South Korean media report last year said the North has carried out an engine ignition test for a missile believed capable of reaching the U.S.' West Coast. The Chosun Ilbo newspaper said the engine was presumed to be for the Taepodong-2, with a range of 6,700 kilometers, or 4,150 miles. It said the test was conducted at a launch site being developed on the west coast. South Korea said last year the site was 80 percent complete. North Korea has a separate site at Musudan-ri on the east coast which was used to launch a Taepodong-1 missile in 1998 over Japan.
The Taepodong-2 is a designation used to indicate a North Korean three-stage ballistic missile design that is the successor to the Taepodong-1. Very little is currently known about the missile design; on July 5, 2006, one was reportedly tested and, according to preliminary reports, failed around 35-40 seconds after launch, crashing into the ocean.
A Taepodong-2 missile was launched from there in July 2006, along with smaller missiles, but U.S. officials said it failed after about 40 seconds. The North conducted a nuclear weapons test in October 2006. It is not known whether it has the technical capability to fit an atomic warhead to a missile.